Hurricane Frances

the wind has come around a lot more onshore in the past few hours, but i thought everyone might want to see a pic anyway. not bad by south florida standards, if ya ask me…

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/ldis/4km/ldis_currentwx_wp.html

Howzit meecrafty, just don’t park that car near any trees. I used to think the same thing until I saw how many cars were crushed by Iniki. I think the worst part about Frances is that it is slowing down which means it will do more damage. We were lucky that Iniki was moving at 25 mph and passed over us quickly. Hurracane Ewa was a different story in that it was movig at only 12 mph, it was only a class 3 hurricane but since it was over the island for twice as long it still did a lot of damage. Just do whatever it takes to stay safe. Aloha,Kokua

I wish you guys the best of luck- with waves and survival. I’m here in Southern California waiting to turn my computer off, pack my pop-up trailer and go meet hurricane Howard down in Baja. The reports are differing, but we’re hoping for the best.

I hope you Florida guys have a safe weekend!

Yeah I gotta ditto what Greg is saying. Evacuation is not a panicky thing if you don’t let it be. And being around afterwards is just lousy. Everyone is pissed off, the fun stuff has passed, and there is a HUGE mess. We used to go and play cards, hang with the family, or go see relatives, easy way to tick one of those “duty visits” off the list. If I were in florida, I would have evacuated to somewhere like Wilmington NC, which is probably getting epic surf, sunny skies, and offshores, with no cops. Swell is probably cleaner too. In the off chance the storm headed there, you could just evacuate back home.

I’ve seen enough storms take a 90 degree turn, or stall, or reverse direction, to know that the forecast is shaky at best. And spending a hurricane in a car because you had to evac at the last minute, is hands down the worst way to weather the storm.

Reminds me of a friend who thought that he could whip his seatbelt on real quick, right before an accident happened, or those bikers who are always trying to repeal the helmet law. Frustrating, because about the time you get to say I told you so, you’re talking to a corpse.

Anyway, good luck to all, evac’ed or not, and let’s hope it doesn’t get too bad.

Wells

The waves are 8 to 10 ft on the south point of Cape Hatteras. Northeast winds blowing off shore there. Very clean powerful surf. Cant talk long , because im packing my gear for the 2 hour drive in the morning. I caught it thursday and it was sick.

Howzit benb, Is Howard going to slip into the Scopion Bay window? Over the years I’ve gotten some great waves there. Aloha, Kokua

I was there for Hugo, too and amen to that.

very nice swell all week in New York from the various swells, favorable wind for the most part, jumped up considerably this morning and evening, extremely low tides making for some sick tubes, a very good local surfer Kevin McAvoy broke his neck yesterday, looks like no paralysis so he should recover, be careful and good luck in Florida…

(surfed with Tim C. this morning…he had the Brom Stepchild out, cool looking board)

ouch…i was thinking better watch my ass earlier up in NC…surfing chest high close out barrels,low tide, in about knee high water…looked at a report for FLA. eailer and it look like the waves are bigger here.thats weird…supposed to be bigger tommorow and my spot seems to always close out lately…and turn to mush as the tide comes in…guess its time to move to a hurricane/fall spot…anyways have fun, and dont break anything

Quote:

Cops won’t let us near the beach down here in Lauderdale.No surf for ages and now you can’t go.

So funny. You guys live in a police state. Wouldn’t matter how big a storm here, you could always get to the beach unless the roads were blocked by downed trees.

the looting has already begun in Sattelite bch. area. because some can’t control themselves all of us have to be policed. part of the reason jim P.& greg l. are no longer here. i noticed at wal-mart this morning the shotguns were sold out.

Ah, I’m afraid Oregon doesn’t get storms like this, no offense. Also, Oregon doesn’t have heavily populated beach front resorts and barrier islands either.

It’s a numbers game. If a hundred thousand people live at the beach on any given five mile stretch of coast, you’ll get your odd fifty or so idiots and criminals who want to go to the beach during the storm. Thus, the police.

I would assume that if oregon did have it’s odd killer storm every couple of years, that so few and isolated people live at the beach, that the police would not only be inable to cover them all, they would see no need to bother.

The general populace, I’ve come to believe, is an incredibly stupid animal, but quite predictable, and thus manageable. As soon as oregon gets it’s own palm beach or coco beach, and gets hit by a few big hurricanes, it will have police too. But don’t hold your breath.

many people in fla from JAMERICA(jamaica) and Haiti thanks to disney recruiting cheap labor. completely different culture and values than we have,different attitudes about posessions and responsibility.

we’re starting to get the bands of heavy rain in orlando now…pours for 5 min. and then the sky clears up completely. won’t be long, maybe that 11’3 blank will get used sooner than expected if we get 10 to 20 inches of rain by sunday. shoulda bought a jon boat instead.

Ok, some more solid validation of the consistent over-estimation by the official hurricane scientists. Currently the hurricane is classified as Cat 2 with sustained 105Mph winds…this weather station data is taken right along the eye wall of the storm where winds are most poweful…actual winds are in the 60-70knots (~70-80mph) sustained…its usually over-estimated by 25% or more…H Charley was over estimated by about the same as well. I know why they do this…but knowing this affects how much I prep for a storm…most structures here will take 120mph+.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SPGF1

  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=wdir&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Wind Direction (WDIR): N ( 360 deg true )  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=wspd&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Wind Speed (WSPD): 61 kts  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=wgst&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Wind Gust (GST): 78 kts  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=pres&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.02 in  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=ptnd&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.20 in ( Falling Rapidly )  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=atmp&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Air Temperature (ATMP): 76.6 °F  <a href="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_met.php?station=spgf1&meas=dewp&uom=E" class="bb-url"><img src="http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/graph04.gif" alt="" class="bb-image" /></a> Dew Point (DEWP): 75.2 °F

The media ia hyping up leaves on the ground and palm fronds lying in the road.

It’s pretty lame.Sleep deprived reporters yelling ANOTHER FEEDER BAND COMING!!!.

Surf breaking good on tv.Offshore and long lines.Still no easy way to get to it.

more pix…howling offshore…

OUTSIDE!!!..


The Pavillion’s going off !

hellz yeah, braddah…

piece of advice: never pee into a hurricane force wind. that is all.

South Beach Miami this morning:

I left my place in Cocoa Beach three blocks from the beach for the relative calm and coolness of NC. Didn’t even think about trying to take I-95 north. Took backroads the whole way and it only took us about 4 hours longer. Much nicer drive as well. We turned off all the circuit breakers except the answering machine so we can call the house and see if the power is on or not. It’s out now. Waves were crap all week. We never even got any real swell from the storm, the Bahamas were blocking most of it. You had to go North to Jacksonville to get anything of size without the winds on it. There is already another storm Ivan behind this one with a very similar projected path.